Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.

“Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.” is a core task performed by Actuaries. Among the occupation's 15 rated tasks, workers place it 10th by importance (#6 most important). About 86% of workers say it is relevant to their job.

This is a single occupation-specific task statement from O*NET. The figures below describe how central the task is to the job and what independent studies measure about AI and this kind of work — not a prediction that the task will be automated.

Work activities this task rolls up to

O*NET groups concrete tasks into broader work activities shared across many occupations.

• Analyze scientific or applied data using mathematical principles. in Analyzing Data or Information

AI exposure

The OpenAI / Eloundou “GPTs are GPTs” study rates this task E2. Exposure with tools — software built on top of a language model (not the model alone) could cut the time by at least half.

Exposure measures whether a model could meaningfully speed the task up — it is an estimate of overlap with model capabilities, not a measure of whether the work will be done by software. The study's intermediate score (β) for this task is 0.50. Automation potential label: T3.

Other tasks in this occupation

• Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits. · importance 4.5
• Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business. · importance 4.5
• Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates. · importance 4.4
• Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums. · importance 4.4
• Determine, or help determine, company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public. · importance 4.3
• Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant. · importance 3.8
• Negotiate terms and conditions of reinsurance with other companies. · importance 3.3
• Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies. · importance 3.3
• Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings. · importance 3.1
• Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses. · importance 3.0
• Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance. · importance 3.0
• Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person disabled or killed in an accident. · importance 2.7
• Explain changes in contract provisions to customers. · importance 2.4
• Manage credit and help price corporate security offerings. · importance 2.4

See all tasks on the Actuaries page.

Sources for this page

Every figure above traces to a named public dataset and the exact release below — not hand-written opinion. See the full methodology for what each measure does and does not mean.

• O*NET 30.3 U.S. Department of Labor / National Center for O*NET Development
• “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130 OpenAI / academic

Data compiled June 2, 2026. Figures are estimates, not advice.

@misc{singulariki-task-3508,
  title  = {Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.},
  author = {{Singulariki}},
  year   = {2026},
  note   = {O*NET 30.3; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130. Accessed June 7, 2026},
  url    = {https://singulariki.com/tasks/task-3508}
}