Market signal
Independent published positions, read together — not a forecast.
- About average employment outlook (+4.1% by 2034)
- 400 openings/yr
- Low AI exposure
Occupation · SOC 29-1242.00
Diagnose and perform surgery to treat and prevent rheumatic and other diseases in the musculoskeletal system.
Also called: Hand Surgeon · Orthopedic Surgeon · Physician · Surgeon · General Surgeon · Orthopaedic Surgeon · Doctor · Foot and Ankle Surgeon · General Orthopedic Surgeon · Medical Doctor (MD) · Orthopedic Hand Surgeon · Orthopedic Physician
Job family: Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
A source-stamped Markdown brief of this occupation — paste it into an agent, or fetch
/roles/role-29-1242-00/context.md directly.
A fast read on where AI already shows up in this occupation, where it stays a copilot, where humans remain in the loop, and what the labor market is doing. Built from observed Claude.ai conversations mapped to O*NET tasks and from published research — measures of usage and exposure, not advice or predictions that the job is going away.
Independent published positions, read together — not a forecast.
34th-percentile task overlap — yet about 400 openings a year (+4.1% projected, BLS) . What exposure means →
What today's research says about this occupation's exposure to AI, how AI is actually being used in it, and where employment is headed. These are positions within published studies — measures of exposure and usage, not predictions that this job will disappear.
Each study uses its own scale, so the raw scores are not comparable across rows — the percentile (this job's rank among all U.S. occupations with data) is the comparable figure, and sizes the bars.
| Measure | Rank vs all occupations | Percentile | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| LLM task exposure, γ (OpenAI / Eloundou) Moderate | 49th | 0.6 | |
| AI assistant applicability (Microsoft) Low | 24th | 0.1 |
OpenAI's exposure study scores tasks three ways: with a language model alone (α 0.1), with simple added tooling (β 0.3), and including AI-powered software (γ 0.6). Higher means more of the job's tasks could be done at least twice as fast — not that they will be automated away.
Among measured AI assistant conversations mapped to this occupation (Anthropic Economic Index, 2026-01-15), these task types came up most. These are shares of observed AI conversations — not shares of the job, of worker time, or of what could be automated.
| Diagnose or treat disorders of the musculoskeletal system. | 0.2% | |
| Analyze patient's medical history, medication allergies, physical condition, and examination results to verify operation's necessity and to determine best procedure. | 0.2% | |
| Provide consultation and surgical assistance to other physicians and surgeons. | 0.2% |
Independent U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics employment projection for 2024–2034 — a labor-market forecast, not an AI-impact forecast.
| Outlook | About average · +4.1% by 2034 |
| Projected annual openings | 400 |
| Employment 2024 → 2034 | 14,700 → 15,300 |
“Annual openings” counts new jobs plus replacements for workers who leave the occupation, so it can be large even when growth is modest.
All 15 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, ordered by importance. Each links to its own page with AI-exposure and observed-use detail.
Skills employers ask for in job postings for this occupation (Lightcast), with whether each is a common or specialized skill.
What to study: Health Professions and Related Programs , Medical Residency/Fellowship Programs . Fields of study crosswalked to this occupation (NCES CIP–SOC), not a requirement.
The interests and personal qualities O*NET associates with people who do this work.
| Attention to Detail | 10.0 | |
| Integrity | 9.0 | |
| Cautiousness | 8.0 | |
| Intellectual Curiosity | 7.0 | |
| Achievement Orientation | 6.0 | |
| Self-Control | 5.0 | |
| Stress Tolerance | 4.0 | |
| Perseverance | 3.0 | |
| Dependability | 2.9 |
| Health Care Service | 6.8 | |
| Medical Science | 5.9 | |
| Life Science | 4.7 |
| Investigative | 6.5 | |
| Realistic | 5.1 | |
| Social | 4.8 | |
| Conventional | 3.9 |
U.S. · annual wages (BLS OEWS)
| 10th percentile | $83,390 |
| 25th percentile | $209,730 |
| Median (50th) | — |
| 75th percentile | — |
| 90th percentile | — |
| People employed | 14,160 |
Where these workers are employed, by number of jobs (national, BLS OEWS). Pay shown is the occupation's national median, not industry-specific.
| Industry | Workers | National median pay |
|---|---|---|
| Health Care and Social Assistance · Sector | 13,870 | — |
| Educational Services · Sector | 270 | $80,250 |
Industries where this occupation is far more common than in the economy as a whole. The location quotient is how many times more concentrated it is here (a value of 5 means five times its economy-wide share).
| Industry | Concentration | Workers |
|---|---|---|
| Health Care and Social Assistance · Sector | 6.54× | 13,870 |
| Educational Services · Sector | 0.22× | 270 |
Part of the Healthcare & Human Services career cluster.
Side-by-side comparisons place two occupations’ pay, preparation, skills, and AI exposure on the same page — same data, same scale, no forecast.
Options the data surfaces for Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric — not advice or a forecast. Each is a real cross-link you can follow into the evidence.
Occupations O*NET rates as related — the nearby moves on the map.
How people typically prepare for this work.
See where this work sits in the bigger picture.
Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric show 34th-percentile AI task overlap — and about 400 annual U.S. openings
Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric show 34th-percentile AI task overlap — and about 400 annual U.S. openings • Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric rank in the 34th percentile (Moderate band) for AI task overlap across U.S. occupations — a measure of how much of the work today's AI can attempt, not how much is automated. (Eloundou et al. (GPTs are GPTs) + Felten AIOE) • The occupation is projected to see about 400 U.S. job openings per year (2024–34), counting growth and replacement — a labor-demand projection made independently of AI. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34) • BLS projects employment to be about average (+4.1%) from 2024 to 2034. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34) Source: Singulariki — "Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric". https://singulariki.com/roles/role-29-1242-00 Note: AI task overlap measures what today's AI can attempt, not automation, job loss, or a forecast.
AssetsShare imageMethodology & sourcesPress & newsroomThe newsroom
Every line is built only from figures this page already shows and cites. AI task overlap means what today's AI can attempt — not automation, job loss, or a forecast.
Every figure above traces to a named public dataset and the exact release below — not hand-written opinion. See the full methodology for what each measure does and does not mean.
Data compiled June 2, 2026. Figures are estimates, not advice.
Singulariki. "Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric." Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Built from O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Anthropic Economic Index v4 (2026-01-15) + v2 (2025-03-27); Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130. Accessed June 7, 2026. https://singulariki.com/roles/role-29-1242-00
Singulariki. (2026). Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric. Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Retrieved June 7, 2026, from https://singulariki.com/roles/role-29-1242-00
@misc{singulariki-role-29-1242-00,
title = {Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric},
author = {{Singulariki}},
year = {2026},
note = {O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Anthropic Economic Index v4 (2026-01-15) + v2 (2025-03-27); Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130. Accessed June 7, 2026},
url = {https://singulariki.com/roles/role-29-1242-00}
} Citations name the underlying public dataset releases — they reflect what this page is built from, not just the URL.