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The tooling gap

The model alone barely touches your job. The software built on the model touches most of it.

When researchers at OpenAI scored how much of each job a large language model could touch, they reported two numbers. Alpha counts the tasks the model can affect on its own — paste text in, read text out. Gamma counts the tasks it can affect once you also build software around the model — retrieval, tools, agents, integrations. The distance between them is the whole story of the last two years.

14% avg tasks the model touches alone (α)
55% avg tasks it touches with software (γ)
3.9× tooling multiplier (γ ÷ α)

Employment-weighted across the U.S. workforce the same split holds: the model alone reaches 14% of tasks, software-on-the-model reaches 60%. Across 947 occupations with both scores.

Where the tooling does the work

These occupations are barely exposed to the chatbot itself, yet nearly every task becomes exposed once software is built around the model. This is where "AI" means the product, not the prompt — and where the agentic build-out, not the base model, moves the line.

Occupation Model alone (α) With software (γ) Exposure shift U.S. employed
Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 0% 100% 861,140
Investment Fund Managers 0% 100% 818,620
Cost Estimators 0% 100% 219,530
Graphic Designers 0% 100% 214,260
Interior Designers 0% 100% 69,580
Real Estate Brokers 0% 100% 49,590
Actuaries 0% 100% 28,340
Economists 0% 100% 15,880
Supply Chain Managers 0% 98% 213,000
Soil and Plant Scientists 0% 98% 16,600
Radiologists 0% 98% 26,290
Health Informatics Specialists 0% 97% 497,800
Pediatricians, General 0% 97% 42,960
Logistics Engineers 4% 100% 235,640
Financial Managers 0% 96% 818,620
General and Operations Managers 0% 96% 3,584,420
Cartographers and Photogrammetrists 4% 100% 12,790
Transportation Engineers 2% 98% 355,410
Urban and Regional Planners 0% 95% 43,040
Advertising and Promotions Managers 0% 95% 21,100
Special Effects Artists and Animators 5% 100% 21,280
Industrial Engineers 5% 100% 350,230
Treasurers and Controllers 0% 95% 818,620
Architectural and Engineering Managers 0% 94% 210,340
Industrial Ecologists 6% 100% 84,930

exposed to the model alone (α) added once software is built around it (γ − α)

Where the model itself is enough

The mirror image: text-in, text-out work the language model touches directly, with little extra needed from tooling. Here the base model — the thing you can use today in a chat window — already overlaps most of the tasks.

Occupation Model alone (α) With software (γ) U.S. employed
Blockchain Engineers 94% 100% 439,380
Court Reporters and Simultaneous Captioners 92% 100% 12,630
Computer Programmers 90% 100% 109,870
Data Warehousing Specialists 89% 100% 64,770
Poets, Lyricists and Creative Writers 89% 89% 47,800
Interpreters and Translators 88% 88% 53,360
Database Administrators 87% 100% 73,180
Web Developers 87% 100% 78,860
Data Entry Keyers 86% 93% 135,280
Web Administrators 83% 100% 439,380
Medical Transcriptionists 82% 93% 43,070
Software Quality Assurance Analysts and Testers 81% 95% 199,800
Software Developers 79% 95% 1,654,440
Database Architects 76% 100% 64,770
Writers and Authors 73% 100% 47,800

How to read this. Exposure is the share of an occupation's tasks that overlap with what AI can do — a measure of potential reach, not automation, adoption, or jobs lost. Alpha (E1 in Eloundou et al.) counts tasks a large language model affects with direct access alone; gamma (E1 + E2) adds tasks affected once complementary software is built on top of the model. A task being "exposed" means AI could cut the time to do it by at least half — it says nothing about whether anyone has built that software, deployed it, or chosen to use it.

← Back to AI exposure across all of work

Datasets behind this page

Every figure above traces to a named public dataset and the exact release below — not hand-written opinion. See the full methodology for what each measure does and does not mean.