The tooling gap
The model alone barely touches your job. The software built on the model touches most of it.
When researchers at OpenAI scored how much of each job a large language model could touch, they reported two numbers. Alpha counts the tasks the model can affect on its own — paste text in, read text out. Gamma counts the tasks it can affect once you also build software around the model — retrieval, tools, agents, integrations. The distance between them is the whole story of the last two years.
Employment-weighted across the U.S. workforce the same split holds: the model alone reaches 14% of tasks, software-on-the-model reaches 60%. Across 947 occupations with both scores.
Where the tooling does the work
These occupations are barely exposed to the chatbot itself, yet nearly every task becomes exposed once software is built around the model. This is where "AI" means the product, not the prompt — and where the agentic build-out, not the base model, moves the line.
exposed to the model alone (α) added once software is built around it (γ − α)
Where the model itself is enough
The mirror image: text-in, text-out work the language model touches directly, with little extra needed from tooling. Here the base model — the thing you can use today in a chat window — already overlaps most of the tasks.
| Occupation | Model alone (α) | With software (γ) | U.S. employed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blockchain Engineers | 94% | 100% | 439,380 |
| Court Reporters and Simultaneous Captioners | 92% | 100% | 12,630 |
| Computer Programmers | 90% | 100% | 109,870 |
| Data Warehousing Specialists | 89% | 100% | 64,770 |
| Poets, Lyricists and Creative Writers | 89% | 89% | 47,800 |
| Interpreters and Translators | 88% | 88% | 53,360 |
| Database Administrators | 87% | 100% | 73,180 |
| Web Developers | 87% | 100% | 78,860 |
| Data Entry Keyers | 86% | 93% | 135,280 |
| Web Administrators | 83% | 100% | 439,380 |
| Medical Transcriptionists | 82% | 93% | 43,070 |
| Software Quality Assurance Analysts and Testers | 81% | 95% | 199,800 |
| Software Developers | 79% | 95% | 1,654,440 |
| Database Architects | 76% | 100% | 64,770 |
| Writers and Authors | 73% | 100% | 47,800 |
How to read this. Exposure is the share of an occupation's tasks that overlap with what AI can do — a measure of potential reach, not automation, adoption, or jobs lost. Alpha (E1 in Eloundou et al.) counts tasks a large language model affects with direct access alone; gamma (E1 + E2) adds tasks affected once complementary software is built on top of the model. A task being "exposed" means AI could cut the time to do it by at least half — it says nothing about whether anyone has built that software, deployed it, or chosen to use it.
← Back to AI exposure across all of work
Datasets behind this page
Every figure above traces to a named public dataset and the exact release below — not hand-written opinion. See the full methodology for what each measure does and does not mean.
- O*NET 30.3 U.S. Department of Labor / National Center for O*NET Development
- “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130 OpenAI / academic