Market signal
Independent published positions, read together — not a forecast.
- Growing fast employment outlook (+11.1% by 2034)
- 22,600 openings/yr
- Moderate AI exposure
- Median pay $36,220/yr
Occupation · SOC 53-3054.00
Drive a motor vehicle to transport passengers on an unplanned basis and charge a fare, usually based on a meter.
Also called: Cab Driver · Taxi Cab Driver · Taxi Driver · Bicycle Taxi Driver · Driver · Hack Driver · Hacker · Limo Driver (Limousine Driver) · Lyft Driver · Pedicab Driver · Rickshaw Driver · Rideshare Cab Driver
Job family: Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
A source-stamped Markdown brief of this occupation — paste it into an agent, or fetch
/roles/role-53-3054-00/context.md directly.
A fast read on where AI already shows up in this occupation, where it stays a copilot, where humans remain in the loop, and what the labor market is doing. Built from observed Claude.ai conversations mapped to O*NET tasks and from published research — measures of usage and exposure, not advice or predictions that the job is going away.
Independent published positions, read together — not a forecast.
42nd-percentile task overlap — yet about 22,600 openings a year (+11.1% projected, BLS) . What exposure means →
What today's research says about this occupation's exposure to AI, how AI is actually being used in it, and where employment is headed. These are positions within published studies — measures of exposure and usage, not predictions that this job will disappear.
Each study uses its own scale, so the raw scores are not comparable across rows — the percentile (this job's rank among all U.S. occupations with data) is the comparable figure, and sizes the bars.
| Measure | Rank vs all occupations | Percentile | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| LLM task exposure, γ (OpenAI / Eloundou) Low | 33rd | 0.3 | |
| AI assistant applicability (Microsoft) Moderate | 54th | 0.2 |
OpenAI's exposure study scores tasks three ways: with a language model alone (α 0.3), with simple added tooling (β 0.3), and including AI-powered software (γ 0.3). Higher means more of the job's tasks could be done at least twice as fast — not that they will be automated away.
Among measured AI assistant conversations mapped to this occupation (Anthropic Economic Index, 2026-01-15), these task types came up most. These are shares of observed AI conversations — not shares of the job, of worker time, or of what could be automated.
| Communicate with dispatchers by radio, telephone, or computer to exchange information and receive requests for passenger service. | 0.2% | |
| Determine fares based on trip distances and times, using taximeters and fee schedules, and announce fares to passengers. | 0.2% |
Independent U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics employment projection for 2024–2034 — a labor-market forecast, not an AI-impact forecast.
| Outlook | Growing fast · +11.1% by 2034 |
| Projected annual openings | 22,600 |
| Employment 2024 → 2034 | 204,000 → 226,600 |
“Annual openings” counts new jobs plus replacements for workers who leave the occupation, so it can be large even when growth is modest.
All 16 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, ordered by importance. Each links to its own page with AI-exposure and observed-use detail.
Skills employers ask for in job postings for this occupation (Lightcast), with whether each is a common or specialized skill.
The interests and personal qualities O*NET associates with people who do this work.
| Transportation/Machine Operation | 6.7 | |
| Personal Service | 3.4 | |
| Mechanics/Electronics | 2.6 | |
| Physical/Manual Labor | 2.3 | |
| Public Speaking | 1.4 | |
| Accounting | 1.4 |
| Realistic | 5.7 | |
| Conventional | 4.8 | |
| Social | 2.8 | |
| Enterprising | 2.5 |
| Dependability | 2.3 | |
| Integrity | 1.7 | |
| Stress Tolerance | 1.6 | |
| Cautiousness | 1.6 | |
| Self-Control | 1.6 | |
| Cooperation | 1.4 |
U.S. · annual wages (BLS OEWS)
| 10th percentile | $27,280 |
| 25th percentile | $31,320 |
| Median (50th) | $36,220 |
| 75th percentile | $40,630 |
| 90th percentile | $61,920 |
| People employed | 17,510 |
Where these workers are employed, by number of jobs (national, BLS OEWS). Pay shown is the occupation's national median, not industry-specific.
| Industry | Workers | National median pay |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation and Warehousing · Sector | 17,060 | $36,510 |
| Ambulance Services · National industry | 80 | $29,990 |
Industries where this occupation is far more common than in the economy as a whole. The location quotient is how many times more concentrated it is here (a value of 5 means five times its economy-wide share).
| Industry | Concentration | Workers |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation and Warehousing · Sector | 20.32× | 17,060 |
Part of the Supply Chain & Transportation career cluster.
Side-by-side comparisons place two occupations’ pay, preparation, skills, and AI exposure on the same page — same data, same scale, no forecast.
Options the data surfaces for Taxi Drivers — not advice or a forecast. Each is a real cross-link you can follow into the evidence.
Occupations O*NET rates as related — the nearby moves on the map.
How people typically prepare for this work.
See where this work sits in the bigger picture.
Taxi Drivers show 42nd-percentile AI task overlap — and about 22,600 annual U.S. openings
Taxi Drivers show 42nd-percentile AI task overlap — and about 22,600 annual U.S. openings • Taxi Drivers rank in the 42nd percentile (Moderate band) for AI task overlap across U.S. occupations — a measure of how much of the work today's AI can attempt, not how much is automated. (Eloundou et al. (GPTs are GPTs) + Felten AIOE) • The occupation is projected to see about 22,600 U.S. job openings per year (2024–34), counting growth and replacement — a labor-demand projection made independently of AI. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34) • BLS projects employment to be growing fast (+11.1%) from 2024 to 2034. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34) • Median annual pay is $36,220, across about 17,510 U.S. workers. (BLS OEWS (May 2024)) Source: Singulariki — "Taxi Drivers". https://singulariki.com/roles/role-53-3054-00 Note: AI task overlap measures what today's AI can attempt, not automation, job loss, or a forecast.
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Every line is built only from figures this page already shows and cites. AI task overlap means what today's AI can attempt — not automation, job loss, or a forecast.
Every figure above traces to a named public dataset and the exact release below — not hand-written opinion. See the full methodology for what each measure does and does not mean.
Data compiled June 2, 2026. Figures are estimates, not advice.
Singulariki. "Taxi Drivers." Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Built from O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Anthropic Economic Index v4 (2026-01-15) + v2 (2025-03-27); Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130. Accessed June 7, 2026. https://singulariki.com/roles/role-53-3054-00
Singulariki. (2026). Taxi Drivers. Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Retrieved June 7, 2026, from https://singulariki.com/roles/role-53-3054-00
@misc{singulariki-role-53-3054-00,
title = {Taxi Drivers},
author = {{Singulariki}},
year = {2026},
note = {O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Anthropic Economic Index v4 (2026-01-15) + v2 (2025-03-27); Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130. Accessed June 7, 2026},
url = {https://singulariki.com/roles/role-53-3054-00}
} Citations name the underlying public dataset releases — they reflect what this page is built from, not just the URL.