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Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

Occupation · SOC 51-4062.00

Lay out, machine, fit, and assemble castings and parts to metal or plastic foundry patterns, core boxes, or match plates.

Also called: Metal Pattern Maker · Pattern Maker · Patternmaker · Wax Molder · Die Cast Die Maker · Fixture Builder · Layout Technician · Pattern Maker Programmer · Pattern Repair Person · Acoustical Tile Patternmaker · All-Around Patternmaker · Boilermaker Loftsman

Job family: Production Occupations

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Download .md

A source-stamped Markdown brief of this occupation — paste it into an agent, or fetch /roles/role-51-4062-00/context.md directly.

AI work map

A fast read on where AI already shows up in this occupation, where it stays a copilot, where humans remain in the loop, and what the labor market is doing. Built from observed Claude.ai conversations mapped to O*NET tasks and from published research — measures of usage and exposure, not advice or predictions that the job is going away.

33rd-percentile task overlap — yet about 100 openings a year (-24.4% projected, BLS) . What exposure means →

AI & job outlook

What today's research says about this occupation's exposure to AI, how AI is actually being used in it, and where employment is headed. These are positions within published studies — measures of exposure and usage, not predictions that this job will disappear.

Exposure to current AI

Each study uses its own scale, so the raw scores are not comparable across rows — the percentile (this job's rank among all U.S. occupations with data) is the comparable figure, and sizes the bars.

Measure Rank vs all occupations Percentile Score
Overall AI exposure (Felten et al.) Low 31st -0.6
LLM task exposure, γ (OpenAI / Eloundou) Low 26th 0.2
AI assistant applicability (Microsoft) Moderate 47th 0.1

OpenAI's exposure study scores tasks three ways: with a language model alone (α 0.1), with simple added tooling (β 0.2), and including AI-powered software (γ 0.2). Higher means more of the job's tasks could be done at least twice as fast — not that they will be automated away.

This job mostly cannot be done remotely (Dingel–Neiman) — its hands-on tasks sit outside what software-based AI reaches.

Mixed signals. Today's AI/LLM studies show relatively low exposure for this job, but the older (2013) Frey–Osborne work rated it higher for computerization and robotics. Different eras, different technologies — the AI measures above reflect the current state.

Historical automation estimate (2013)

A pre-LLM (2013) estimate of how automatable this job is by computerization and robotics. Shown for historical context only — it is not part of any current AI ranking.

Frey–Osborne probability 0.9 · 78th percentile among occupations · High

Job outlook

Independent U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics employment projection for 2024–2034 — a labor-market forecast, not an AI-impact forecast.

Outlook Declining · -24.4% by 2034
Projected annual openings 100
Employment 2024 → 2034 1,600 → 1,200

“Annual openings” counts new jobs plus replacements for workers who leave the occupation, so it can be large even when growth is modest.

Where this work sits on the global GenAI gradient

The ILO's 2025 global study scores generative-AI exposure on the international ISCO-08 occupation system, not US SOC. Bridged through the published (and approximate, many-to-many) IBS O*NET-SOC ↔ ISCO-08 crosswalk, this US occupation corresponds to the international occupation below. Exposure here means how much of the work's tasks today's AI can attempt — task overlap, not automation, adoption, or jobs lost.

20% mean task exposure (2025)
34th percentile of 427 placed occupations
−1 pts shift 2023 → 2025
International occupation (ISCO-08) Task exposure (2025) Most tasks fall in
Toolmakers and Related Workers · 7222 20% Not exposed

Read the whole six-band gradient on the GenAI exposure gradient page. The crosswalk is approximate: a US occupation can map to several international ones, and the ILO scores describe the international occupation, not this exact US role.

Tasks

All 15 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, ordered by importance. Each links to its own page with AI-exposure and observed-use detail.

Work activities

Knowledge, skills & abilities

O*NET importance rating, from 1 (not important) to 5 (extremely important).

Abilities

Near Vision 3.9
Arm-Hand Steadiness 3.5
Problem Sensitivity 3.3
Visualization 3.3
Manual Dexterity 3.3
Control Precision 3.3
Deductive Reasoning 3.1
Information Ordering 3.1
Selective Attention 3.1
Finger Dexterity 3.1
Oral Comprehension 3.0
Written Comprehension 3.0
Oral Expression 3.0
Inductive Reasoning 3.0
Category Flexibility 3.0
Speech Recognition 3.0
Speech Clarity 3.0
Fluency of Ideas 2.9
Perceptual Speed 2.9
Multilimb Coordination 2.9
Far Vision 2.9
Visual Color Discrimination 2.9
Written Expression 2.8

Knowledge

Production and Processing 3.6
Mechanical 3.4
Mathematics 3.4
Design 3.3
Engineering and Technology 3.1
Customer and Personal Service 2.8

Transferable skills

Operations Monitoring 3.4
Operation and Control 3.1
Quality Control Analysis 3.1
Complex Problem Solving 3.0
Judgment and Decision Making 2.9
Time Management 2.9

Essential skills

Reading Comprehension 3.0
Active Listening 3.0
Speaking 3.0
Critical Thinking 3.0
Monitoring 3.0

Skills in demand

Skills employers ask for in job postings for this occupation (Lightcast), with whether each is a common or specialized skill.

Tools & technology

Example Category
Autodesk AutoCAD Computer aided design CAD software Hot technology
Microsoft Excel Spreadsheet software Hot technology
Microsoft Outlook Electronic mail software Hot technology
3D Systems Geomagic Design X Computer aided design CAD software
Delcam PowerMILL Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software Computer aided manufacturing CAM software

Work context

How characteristic each condition is of the job, on O*NET's 1–5 context scale (higher = more present in day-to-day work). Each condition links to how it varies across all occupations.

Face-to-Face Discussions with Individuals and Within Teams 5.0
Wear Common Protective or Safety Equipment such as Safety Shoes, Glasses, Gloves, Hearing Protection, Hard Hats, or Life Jackets 5.0
Spend Time Using Your Hands to Handle, Control, or Feel Objects, Tools, or Controls 4.5
Time Pressure 4.5
Contact With Others 4.5
Exposed to Contaminants 4.5
Exposed to Sounds, Noise Levels that are Distracting or Uncomfortable 4.4
Work With or Contribute to a Work Group or Team 4.1
Importance of Being Exact or Accurate 4.1
Exposed to Hazardous Equipment 4.0
Telephone Conversations 3.9
Spend Time Standing 3.8
Determine Tasks, Priorities and Goals 3.8
Freedom to Make Decisions 3.8
E-Mail 3.8
Physical Proximity 3.6
Work Outcomes and Results of Other Workers 3.5
Health and Safety of Other Workers 3.5
Indoors, Environmentally Controlled 3.5
Pace Determined by Speed of Equipment 3.5
Consequence of Error 3.4
Level of Competition 3.4
Spend Time Making Repetitive Motions 3.4
Coordinate or Lead Others in Accomplishing Work Activities 3.3
Written Letters and Memos 3.3
Spend Time Walking or Running 3.2
Impact of Decisions on Co-workers or Company Results 3.2
Frequency of Decision Making 3.2
Conflict Situations 3.1
Importance of Repeating Same Tasks 3.0
Spend Time Bending or Twisting Your Body 2.7
Exposed to Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions 2.7
Indoors, Not Environmentally Controlled 2.5
Spend Time Kneeling, Crouching, Stooping, or Crawling 2.4
Spend Time Sitting 2.2
Dealing With Unpleasant, Angry, or Discourteous People 2.2
Exposed to Very Hot or Cold Temperatures 2.2
Exposed to Minor Burns, Cuts, Bites, or Stings 2.2
Exposed to Hazardous Conditions 2.2
Wear Specialized Protective or Safety Equipment such as Breathing Apparatus, Safety Harness, Full Protection Suits, or Radiation Protection 2.2

How to get in

Job zone
Zone 3 — Job Zone Three: Medium Preparation Needed
Education
Most occupations in this zone require training in vocational schools, related on-the-job experience, or an associate's degree.
Typical entry-level education
High school diploma or equivalent · BLS, the typical path — not a requirement
Related experience
Previous work-related skill, knowledge, or experience is required for these occupations. For example, an electrician must have completed three or four years of apprenticeship or several years of vocational training, and often must have passed a licensing exam, in order to perform the job.
Preparation level
SVP (6.0 to < 7.0) — total schooling plus on-the-job experience.

What to study: Precision Production . Fields of study crosswalked to this occupation (NCES CIP–SOC), not a requirement.

Education of current workers

Share of people in this occupation at each level of education.

High School Diploma 33.5%
Post-Secondary Certificate 15.0%
Less than a High School Diploma 8.7%
Associate's Degree (or other 2-year degree) 2.5%
Bachelor's Degree 0.1%

Interests & work styles

The interests and personal qualities O*NET associates with people who do this work.

Career interests (Holland / RIASEC)

Realistic 6.2
Conventional 4.2
Artistic 3.4
Investigative 1.7

Interest areas

Physical/Manual Labor 4.5
Engineering 4.3
Mechanics/Electronics 3.6
Applied Arts and Design 2.5
Construction/Woodwork 2.1
Mathematics/Statistics 2.0
Visual Arts 1.9
Transportation/Machine Operation 1.6

Work styles

Attention to Detail 2.7
Dependability 2.1
Cautiousness 2.0
Achievement Orientation 1.3

Wages & employment

U.S. · annual wages (BLS OEWS)

$39k10th$48k25th$55kMedian$67k75th$80k90th
Annual wages by percentile — U.S. (BLS OEWS). The light band spans the 10th–90th percentile; the darker band is the middle half (25th–75th); the line is the median.
2k20241k2034 (proj.)-24.4% · Declining
Projected U.S. employment, 2024–2034 (BLS Employment Projections). A labor-market forecast for the occupation, not an AI-impact forecast.
10th percentile $39,150
25th percentile $47,520
Median (50th) $54,540
75th percentile $66,590
90th percentile $79,690
People employed 1,570

Industries that employ this occupation

Where these workers are employed, by number of jobs (national, BLS OEWS). Pay shown is the occupation's national median, not industry-specific.

Industry Workers National median pay
Manufacturing · Sector 1,530 $54,650

Where this work is most concentrated

Industries where this occupation is far more common than in the economy as a whole. The location quotient is how many times more concentrated it is here (a value of 5 means five times its economy-wide share).

Industry Concentration Workers
Manufacturing · Sector 11.77× 1,530

Part of the Advanced Manufacturing career cluster.

Exposure quadrant: AI task-overlap percentile vs Median pay Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic sits at the 33rd percentile of AI task-overlap and the 39th percentile of median pay, placed here against 12 adjacent occupations on the same two axes. Lower overlap · higher pay Higher overlap · higher pay Higher overlap · lower pay Lower overlap · lower pay Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers Grinding and Polishing Workers, Hand Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers AI task-overlap percentile → ↑ Median pay
AI task-overlap percentile (horizontal) vs. median-pay percentile (vertical), across all scored occupations. This occupation is highlighted; related occupations are plotted alongside it. Overlap measures shared tasks with AI, not automation.

Side-by-side comparisons place two occupations’ pay, preparation, skills, and AI exposure on the same page — same data, same scale, no forecast.

What you can do with this

Options the data surfaces for Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic — not advice or a forecast. Each is a real cross-link you can follow into the evidence.

Skills that travel

Capabilities this work builds that are used across many other occupations.

Paths in

How people typically prepare for this work.

Zoom out

On the global GenAI exposure gradient this work sits around the 34th percentile of 427 international occupations.

Write a report on thisheadline · factoids · citation

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic show 33rd-percentile AI task overlap — and about 100 annual U.S. openings

  • Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic rank in the 33rd percentile (Low band) for AI task overlap across U.S. occupations — a measure of how much of the work today's AI can attempt, not how much is automated.Eloundou et al. (GPTs are GPTs) + Felten AIOE
  • The occupation is projected to see about 100 U.S. job openings per year (2024–34), counting growth and replacement — a labor-demand projection made independently of AI.BLS Employment Projections 2024–34
  • BLS projects employment to be declining (-24.4%) from 2024 to 2034.BLS Employment Projections 2024–34
  • Median annual pay is $54,540, across about 1,570 U.S. workers.BLS OEWS (May 2024)
Copy the whole kit
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic show 33rd-percentile AI task overlap — and about 100 annual U.S. openings

• Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic rank in the 33rd percentile (Low band) for AI task overlap across U.S. occupations — a measure of how much of the work today's AI can attempt, not how much is automated. (Eloundou et al. (GPTs are GPTs) + Felten AIOE)
• The occupation is projected to see about 100 U.S. job openings per year (2024–34), counting growth and replacement — a labor-demand projection made independently of AI. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34)
• BLS projects employment to be declining (-24.4%) from 2024 to 2034. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34)
• Median annual pay is $54,540, across about 1,570 U.S. workers. (BLS OEWS (May 2024))

Source: Singulariki — "Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic". https://singulariki.com/roles/role-51-4062-00
Note: AI task overlap measures what today's AI can attempt, not automation, job loss, or a forecast.

AssetsShare imageMethodology & sourcesPress & newsroomThe newsroom

Every line is built only from figures this page already shows and cites. AI task overlap means what today's AI can attempt — not automation, job loss, or a forecast.

Sources for this page

Every figure above traces to a named public dataset and the exact release below — not hand-written opinion. See the full methodology for what each measure does and does not mean.

Data compiled June 2, 2026. Figures are estimates, not advice.

Cite this page
Plain

Singulariki. "Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic." Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Built from O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130; AI Occupational Exposure (AIOE) Felten, Raj & Seamans; ILO / Gmyrek et al. GenAI exposure gradient 2025; IBS O*NET-SOC ↔ ISCO-08 occupation crosswalk 2022; Frey & Osborne (2013) frey-osborne-automation; Dingel & Neiman (2020) dingel-neiman-workathome. Accessed June 7, 2026. https://singulariki.com/roles/role-51-4062-00

APA

Singulariki. (2026). Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic. Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Retrieved June 7, 2026, from https://singulariki.com/roles/role-51-4062-00

BibTeX
@misc{singulariki-role-51-4062-00,
  title  = {Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic},
  author = {{Singulariki}},
  year   = {2026},
  note   = {O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130; AI Occupational Exposure (AIOE) Felten, Raj & Seamans; ILO / Gmyrek et al. GenAI exposure gradient 2025; IBS O*NET-SOC ↔ ISCO-08 occupation crosswalk 2022; Frey & Osborne (2013) frey-osborne-automation; Dingel & Neiman (2020) dingel-neiman-workathome. Accessed June 7, 2026},
  url    = {https://singulariki.com/roles/role-51-4062-00}
}

Citations name the underlying public dataset releases — they reflect what this page is built from, not just the URL.

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