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Singulariki

Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators

Occupation · SOC 23-1022.00

Facilitate negotiation and conflict resolution through dialogue. Resolve conflicts outside of the court system by mutual consent of parties involved.

Also called: Alternative Dispute Resolution Coordinator (ADR Coordinator) · Arbitrator · Labor Arbitrator · Mediator · Arbiter · Divorce Mediator · Family Mediator · Federal Mediator · Labor Mediator · Public Employment Mediator · Adjudicator · Alternative Dispute Resolution Mediator (ADR Mediator)

Job family: Legal Occupations

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Download .md

A source-stamped Markdown brief of this occupation — paste it into an agent, or fetch /roles/role-23-1022-00/context.md directly.

AI work map

A fast read on where AI already shows up in this occupation, where it stays a copilot, where humans remain in the loop, and what the labor market is doing. Built from observed Claude.ai conversations mapped to O*NET tasks and from published research — measures of usage and exposure, not advice or predictions that the job is going away.

Often handed to AI

Task areas most often handled directively in observed AI conversations — candidates to delegate with light review.

  • Research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings. · 0.8%
  • Apply relevant laws, regulations, policies, or precedents to reach conclusions. · 0.6%
See how AI is used here →

Use as a copilot

Task areas where people work with AI — iterating, learning, or checking — staying in the loop rather than handing the task off.

  • Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases. · 5.4%
  • Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement. · 2.3%
  • Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests. · 0.6%
See collaboration patterns →

Keep a human in the loop

Task areas where a human was still judged necessary in a large share of observed conversations — not a safety ruling, an observed-need signal.

  • Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement. · 98.3% need a human
  • Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases. · 98.2% need a human
  • Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests. · 96.6% need a human
See the boundary tasks →

70th-percentile task overlap — yet about 300 openings a year (+4.3% projected, BLS), and observed AI use leans 5611% copilot, not hand-off (AEI) . What exposure means →

AI & job outlook

What today's research says about this occupation's exposure to AI, how AI is actually being used in it, and where employment is headed. These are positions within published studies — measures of exposure and usage, not predictions that this job will disappear.

Exposure to current AI

Each study uses its own scale, so the raw scores are not comparable across rows — the percentile (this job's rank among all U.S. occupations with data) is the comparable figure, and sizes the bars.

Measure Rank vs all occupations Percentile Score
Overall AI exposure (Felten et al.) High 97th 1.4
LLM task exposure, γ (OpenAI / Eloundou) High 78th 0.9
AI assistant applicability (Microsoft) Moderate 34th 0.1

OpenAI's exposure study scores tasks three ways: with a language model alone (α 0.1), with simple added tooling (β 0.5), and including AI-powered software (γ 0.9). Higher means more of the job's tasks could be done at least twice as fast — not that they will be automated away.

Most of this job's tasks can be done remotely (Dingel–Neiman), which tends to track with higher digital and AI exposure.

Historical automation estimate (2013)

A pre-LLM (2013) estimate of how automatable this job is by computerization and robotics. Shown for historical context only — it is not part of any current AI ranking.

Frey–Osborne probability 0.1 · 24th percentile among occupations · Low

How AI is actually used in this job

Among measured AI assistant conversations mapped to this occupation (Anthropic Economic Index, 2026-01-15), these task types came up most. These are shares of observed AI conversations — not shares of the job, of worker time, or of what could be automated.

Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement. 3.1%
Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests. 2.4%
Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases. 2.1%
Research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings. 1.4%
Apply relevant laws, regulations, policies, or precedents to reach conclusions. 0.9%
Prepare settlement agreements for disputants to sign. 0.5%

Job outlook

Independent U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics employment projection for 2024–2034 — a labor-market forecast, not an AI-impact forecast.

Outlook About average · +4.3% by 2034
Projected annual openings 300
Employment 2024 → 2034 9,100 → 9,500

“Annual openings” counts new jobs plus replacements for workers who leave the occupation, so it can be large even when growth is modest.

Where this work sits on the global GenAI gradient

The ILO's 2025 global study scores generative-AI exposure on the international ISCO-08 occupation system, not US SOC. Bridged through the published (and approximate, many-to-many) IBS O*NET-SOC ↔ ISCO-08 crosswalk, this US occupation corresponds to the international occupation below. Exposure here means how much of the work's tasks today's AI can attempt — task overlap, not automation, adoption, or jobs lost.

37% mean task exposure (2025)
71st percentile of 427 placed occupations
+6 pts shift 2023 → 2025
International occupation (ISCO-08) Task exposure (2025) Most tasks fall in
Legal Professionals Not Elsewhere Classified · 2619 37% Minimal

Read the whole six-band gradient on the GenAI exposure gradient page. The crosswalk is approximate: a US occupation can map to several international ones, and the ILO scores describe the international occupation, not this exact US role.

Working with AI in this job

How people actually apply AI to this occupation's tasks, from Claude.ai (Free and Pro) conversations in the Anthropic Economic Index, 2026-01-15. This is one AI assistant's consumer sample — not all AI, not the whole workforce. Autonomy and the collaboration mix are model-rated estimates; figures below the sample floor are hidden.

Augmentation vs. automation 56.1% working with AI · 34.0% handed to AI
Most common way people use AI here Iteration · you and AI go back and forth
Typical AI autonomy 3.0 / 5 · higher = AI acts more independently
Used for work (vs. personal / coursework) 71.8%

What people delegate to AI

The role's most common tasks in AI conversations, each tagged with how people work with the AI on it. “Usage” is the share of observed conversations, not of the job.

Task How Usage
Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases. Iteration 5.4%
Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement. Iteration 2.3%
Research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings. Directive 0.8%
Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests. Iteration 0.6%
Apply relevant laws, regulations, policies, or precedents to reach conclusions. Directive 0.6%

Where a human is still needed

Tasks where the model most often judged that a person remained necessary — a useful read on the current boundary, not a guarantee.

Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement. 98.3%
Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases. 98.2%
Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests. 96.6%
Research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings. 93.8%
Apply relevant laws, regulations, policies, or precedents to reach conclusions. 86.4%

What people most often hand AI here

Example prompts phrased from the tasks people most often delegate to AI in this occupation (Anthropic Economic Index). Each shows the underlying measured task and its share of observed AI use. They are suggested phrasings of real tasks — starting points, not endorsed instructions.

  • Help me prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases.

    From: Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases. · 5.4% of measured AI use · task iteration

  • Help me use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement.

    From: Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement. · 2.3% of measured AI use · task iteration

  • Help me research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings.

    From: Research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings. · 0.8% of measured AI use · directive

  • Help me confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests.

    From: Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests. · 0.6% of measured AI use · task iteration

Tasks

All 20 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, ordered by importance. Each links to its own page with AI-exposure and observed-use detail.

Work activities

Knowledge, skills & abilities

O*NET importance rating, from 1 (not important) to 5 (extremely important).

Transferable skills

Negotiation 4.6
Social Perceptiveness 3.8
Persuasion 3.8
Complex Problem Solving 3.8
Judgment and Decision Making 3.6
Coordination 3.1
Service Orientation 3.0
Instructing 2.9
Time Management 2.9

Essential skills

Active Listening 4.4
Writing 4.3
Reading Comprehension 4.1
Speaking 4.1
Critical Thinking 4.0
Active Learning 3.9
Learning Strategies 2.9
Monitoring 2.9

Abilities

Written Comprehension 4.3
Written Expression 4.3
Oral Comprehension 4.1
Oral Expression 4.1
Deductive Reasoning 4.0
Inductive Reasoning 4.0
Speech Clarity 4.0
Problem Sensitivity 3.8
Speech Recognition 3.8
Near Vision 3.4
Selective Attention 3.3
Fluency of Ideas 3.1
Information Ordering 3.1
Originality 3.0
Category Flexibility 3.0
Flexibility of Closure 2.9
Far Vision 2.9
Speed of Closure 2.8

Knowledge

English Language 4.2
Law and Government 4.2
Personnel and Human Resources 4.0
Administration and Management 3.0
Education and Training 2.7

Skills in demand

Skills employers ask for in job postings for this occupation (Lightcast), with whether each is a common or specialized skill.

Tools & technology

Example Category
Microsoft Excel Spreadsheet software Hot technology In demand
Microsoft Office software Office suite software Hot technology In demand
Microsoft Outlook Electronic mail software Hot technology In demand
Microsoft Word Word processing software Hot technology In demand
Microsoft Access Data base user interface and query software Hot technology
Microsoft PowerPoint Presentation software Hot technology
Microsoft SharePoint Document management software Hot technology
Oracle PeopleSoft Enterprise resource planning ERP software Hot technology
Salesforce software Customer relationship management CRM software Hot technology
SAP software Enterprise resource planning ERP software Hot technology
Scheduling software Calendar and scheduling software
Web browser software Internet browser software

Work context

How characteristic each condition is of the job, on O*NET's 1–5 context scale (higher = more present in day-to-day work). Each condition links to how it varies across all occupations.

Spend Time Sitting 4.8
Freedom to Make Decisions 4.8
Importance of Being Exact or Accurate 4.7
Determine Tasks, Priorities and Goals 4.7
E-Mail 4.5
Impact of Decisions on Co-workers or Company Results 4.3
Conflict Situations 3.9
Time Pressure 3.8
Written Letters and Memos 3.7
Frequency of Decision Making 3.7
Face-to-Face Discussions with Individuals and Within Teams 3.7
Contact With Others 3.6
Telephone Conversations 3.5
Level of Competition 3.3
Indoors, Environmentally Controlled 3.0
Physical Proximity 3.0
Dealing With Unpleasant, Angry, or Discourteous People 2.8
Work Outcomes and Results of Other Workers 2.6
Consequence of Error 2.4
Deal With External Customers or the Public in General 2.3
Coordinate or Lead Others in Accomplishing Work Activities 2.3
Importance of Repeating Same Tasks 2.2
Work With or Contribute to a Work Group or Team 2.1
Degree of Automation 2.1
Public Speaking 2.0
Health and Safety of Other Workers 2.0
Dealing with Violent or Physically Aggressive People 1.8
Exposed to Sounds, Noise Levels that are Distracting or Uncomfortable 1.8
Spend Time Using Your Hands to Handle, Control, or Feel Objects, Tools, or Controls 1.7
Spend Time Making Repetitive Motions 1.6
Spend Time Standing 1.6
Indoors, Not Environmentally Controlled 1.6
Exposed to Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions 1.4
Exposed to Disease or Infections 1.4
Exposed to Contaminants 1.3
Exposed to Extremely Bright or Inadequate Lighting Conditions 1.3
Wear Common Protective or Safety Equipment such as Safety Shoes, Glasses, Gloves, Hearing Protection, Hard Hats, or Life Jackets 1.3
Outdoors, Exposed to All Weather Conditions 1.2
Exposed to Hazardous Conditions 1.2
Exposed to Hazardous Equipment 1.2

How to get in

Job zone
Zone 5 — Job Zone Five: Extensive Preparation Needed
Education
Most of these occupations require graduate school. For example, they may require a master's degree, and some require a Ph.D., M.D., or J.D. (law degree).
Typical entry-level education
Bachelor's degree · BLS, the typical path — not a requirement
Related experience
Extensive skill, knowledge, and experience are needed for these occupations. Many require more than five years of experience. For example, surgeons must complete four years of college and an additional five to seven years of specialized medical training to be able to do their job.
Preparation level
SVP (8.0 and above) — total schooling plus on-the-job experience.

What to study: Legal Professions and Studies , Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies . Fields of study crosswalked to this occupation (NCES CIP–SOC), not a requirement.

Education of current workers

Share of people in this occupation at each level of education.

First Professional Degree 36.8%
Bachelor's Degree 15.8%
Post-Baccalaureate Certificate 10.5%
Master's Degree 10.5%
Post-Master's Certificate 10.5%
Less than a High School Diploma 5.3%
Associate's Degree (or other 2-year degree) 5.3%
Doctoral Degree 5.3%

Interests & work styles

The interests and personal qualities O*NET associates with people who do this work.

Work styles

Dependability 10.0
Attention to Detail 9.0
Integrity 8.0
Cautiousness 7.0
Cooperation 6.0
Social Orientation 5.0
Self-Control 4.0

Interest areas

Law 5.9
Professional Advising 3.6
Management/Administration 3.5
Public Speaking 3.5
Human Resources 3.5

Career interests (Holland / RIASEC)

Enterprising 4.6
Conventional 4.3
Social 4.2
Investigative 3.6

Wages & employment

U.S. · annual wages (BLS OEWS)

$46k10th$60k25th$68kMedian$101k75th$133k90th
Annual wages by percentile — U.S. (BLS OEWS). The light band spans the 10th–90th percentile; the darker band is the middle half (25th–75th); the line is the median.
9k202410k2034 (proj.)+4.3% · About average
Projected U.S. employment, 2024–2034 (BLS Employment Projections). A labor-market forecast for the occupation, not an AI-impact forecast.
10th percentile $46,200
25th percentile $60,030
Median (50th) $67,710
75th percentile $101,010
90th percentile $133,480
People employed 7,860

Industries that employ this occupation

Where these workers are employed, by number of jobs (national, BLS OEWS). Pay shown is the occupation's national median, not industry-specific.

Industry Workers National median pay
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services · Sector 3,260
Other Services (except Public Administration) · Sector 570 $53,810
Health Care and Social Assistance · Sector 490 $53,600
Educational Services · Sector 440 $118,350
Services for the Elderly and Persons with Disabilities · National industry 200 $50,170
Finance and Insurance · Sector 150 $78,110
Labor Unions and Similar Labor Organizations · National industry 140 $101,310
Wholesale Trade · Sector 110 $50,130
Management of Companies and Enterprises · Sector 80 $60,760
Direct Health and Medical Insurance Carriers · National industry 50 $67,080

Where this work is most concentrated

Industries where this occupation is far more common than in the economy as a whole. The location quotient is how many times more concentrated it is here (a value of 5 means five times its economy-wide share).

Industry Concentration Workers
Labor Unions and Similar Labor Organizations · National industry 25.92× 140
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services · Sector 5.94× 3,260
Other Services (except Public Administration) · Sector 2.53× 570
Services for the Elderly and Persons with Disabilities · National industry 1.63× 200
Educational Services · Sector 0.63× 440
Finance and Insurance · Sector 0.47× 150
Health Care and Social Assistance · Sector 0.42× 490
Wholesale Trade · Sector 0.36× 110

Part of the Public Service & Safety career cluster.

Exposure quadrant: AI task-overlap percentile vs Median pay Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators sits at the 70th percentile of AI task-overlap and the 58th percentile of median pay, placed here against 12 adjacent occupations on the same two axes. Lower overlap · higher pay Higher overlap · higher pay Higher overlap · lower pay Lower overlap · lower pay Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators Paralegals and Legal Assistants Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates Labor Relations Specialists Equal Opportunity Representatives and Officers Child, Family, and School Social Workers Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers Legal Secretaries and Administrative Assistants AI task-overlap percentile → ↑ Median pay
AI task-overlap percentile (horizontal) vs. median-pay percentile (vertical), across all scored occupations. This occupation is highlighted; related occupations are plotted alongside it. Overlap measures shared tasks with AI, not automation.

Side-by-side comparisons place two occupations’ pay, preparation, skills, and AI exposure on the same page — same data, same scale, no forecast.

What you can do with this

Options the data surfaces for Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators — not advice or a forecast. Each is a real cross-link you can follow into the evidence.

Skills that travel

Capabilities this work builds that are used across many other occupations.

Paths in

How people typically prepare for this work.

Zoom out

On the global GenAI exposure gradient this work sits around the 71st percentile of 427 international occupations.

Write a report on thisheadline · factoids · citation

Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators show 70th-percentile AI task overlap — and about 300 annual U.S. openings

  • Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators rank in the 70th percentile (High band) for AI task overlap across U.S. occupations — a measure of how much of the work today's AI can attempt, not how much is automated.Eloundou et al. (GPTs are GPTs) + Felten AIOE
  • The occupation is projected to see about 300 U.S. job openings per year (2024–34), counting growth and replacement — a labor-demand projection made independently of AI.BLS Employment Projections 2024–34
  • BLS projects employment to be about average (+4.3%) from 2024 to 2034.BLS Employment Projections 2024–34
  • Median annual pay is $67,710, across about 7,860 U.S. workers.BLS OEWS (May 2024)
  • Of the AI use actually observed for this work, 56% looks like augmentation (drafting, iterating, checking) rather than hands-off automation — from a Claude.ai usage sample, not a census.2026-01-15-v4-plus-2025-03-27-v2
Copy the whole kit
Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators show 70th-percentile AI task overlap — and about 300 annual U.S. openings

• Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators rank in the 70th percentile (High band) for AI task overlap across U.S. occupations — a measure of how much of the work today's AI can attempt, not how much is automated. (Eloundou et al. (GPTs are GPTs) + Felten AIOE)
• The occupation is projected to see about 300 U.S. job openings per year (2024–34), counting growth and replacement — a labor-demand projection made independently of AI. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34)
• BLS projects employment to be about average (+4.3%) from 2024 to 2034. (BLS Employment Projections 2024–34)
• Median annual pay is $67,710, across about 7,860 U.S. workers. (BLS OEWS (May 2024))
• Of the AI use actually observed for this work, 56% looks like augmentation (drafting, iterating, checking) rather than hands-off automation — from a Claude.ai usage sample, not a census. (2026-01-15-v4-plus-2025-03-27-v2)

Source: Singulariki — "Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators". https://singulariki.com/roles/role-23-1022-00
Note: AI task overlap measures what today's AI can attempt, not automation, job loss, or a forecast.

AssetsShare imageMethodology & sourcesPress & newsroomThe newsroom

Every line is built only from figures this page already shows and cites. AI task overlap means what today's AI can attempt — not automation, job loss, or a forecast.

Sources for this page

Every figure above traces to a named public dataset and the exact release below — not hand-written opinion. See the full methodology for what each measure does and does not mean.

Data compiled June 2, 2026. Figures are estimates, not advice.

Cite this page
Plain

Singulariki. "Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators." Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Built from O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Anthropic Economic Index v4 (2026-01-15) + v2 (2025-03-27); Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130; AI Occupational Exposure (AIOE) Felten, Raj & Seamans; ILO / Gmyrek et al. GenAI exposure gradient 2025; IBS O*NET-SOC ↔ ISCO-08 occupation crosswalk 2022; Frey & Osborne (2013) frey-osborne-automation; Dingel & Neiman (2020) dingel-neiman-workathome. Accessed June 7, 2026. https://singulariki.com/roles/role-23-1022-00

APA

Singulariki. (2026). Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators. Singulariki: a source-backed encyclopedia of work. Retrieved June 7, 2026, from https://singulariki.com/roles/role-23-1022-00

BibTeX
@misc{singulariki-role-23-1022-00,
  title  = {Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators},
  author = {{Singulariki}},
  year   = {2026},
  note   = {O*NET 30.3; BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024; BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034; Anthropic Economic Index v4 (2026-01-15) + v2 (2025-03-27); Microsoft “Working with AI” working-with-ai; “GPTs are GPTs” (Eloundou et al.) arXiv 2303.10130; AI Occupational Exposure (AIOE) Felten, Raj & Seamans; ILO / Gmyrek et al. GenAI exposure gradient 2025; IBS O*NET-SOC ↔ ISCO-08 occupation crosswalk 2022; Frey & Osborne (2013) frey-osborne-automation; Dingel & Neiman (2020) dingel-neiman-workathome. Accessed June 7, 2026},
  url    = {https://singulariki.com/roles/role-23-1022-00}
}

Citations name the underlying public dataset releases — they reflect what this page is built from, not just the URL.

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